Tennis · resolved market
Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a1b1cd4d12bbcdaf6788ece3e3a706b7ac17956d94ea4a8d4c982d1c778b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gustavo Heideof Gustavo Heide, Pedro Boscardin Dias
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d40…4737backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0c | 25,382$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 13c | 2,839$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gustavo Heide | 78c | 2,380$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.57 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 36c | 1,305$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.47 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 10c | 465.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 8c | 435.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gustavo Heide | 63c | 215.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 7c | 215.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 11c | 207.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…2c19backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 10c | 117.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 16c | 110.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Gustavo Heide | 73c | 89.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 104 | 74%77 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gustavo Heide | 65c | 73.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 32c | 60.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gustavo Heide | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Gustavo Heide | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 42c | 34.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Gustavo Heide | 69c | 24.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.