Tennis · resolved market
ITF Denia: Carles Cordoba vs Carlos Lopez Montagud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b3ec38e521d9ebe4988579d9034034a7da4eaec44db99898ced4fcbf48c0bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Lopez Montagudof Carles Cordoba, Carlos Lopez Montagud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 59c | 5,730$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carles Cordoba | 34c | 2,031$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.27 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Carles Cordoba | 49c | 1,427$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.21 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Carles Cordoba | 43c | 699.75$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.35 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 52c | 514.58$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Carles Cordoba | 34c | 443.22$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 64c | 434.78$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Carles Cordoba | 45c | 289.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Carles Cordoba | 49c | 232.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Carles Cordoba | 38c | 221.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Carles Cordoba | 35c | 205.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Carles Cordoba | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Carles Cordoba | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Carles Cordoba | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Carles Cordoba | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Carles Cordoba | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Carles Cordoba | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Carles Cordoba | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 51c | 97.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Carles Cordoba | 45c | 92.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed Carles Cordoba | 47c | 91.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 66c | 75.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Carles Cordoba | 34c | 71.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Carles Cordoba | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Carles Cordoba | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Carles Cordoba | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Carles Cordoba | 34c | 65.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 68c | 63.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 52c | 61.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Carles Cordoba | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Carles Cordoba | 46c | 59.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Carles Cordoba | 35c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…de68backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 57c | 58.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 59c | 54.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 56c | 43.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 74c | 37.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Carles Cordoba | 45c | 37.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Carles Cordoba | 36c | 36.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Carles Cordoba | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Carles Cordoba | 37c | 34.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Carles Cordoba | 34c | 31.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 77c | 29.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 59c | 23.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 69c | 22.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…52bebacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Carles Cordoba | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Carles Cordoba | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Carles Cordoba | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Carles Cordoba | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 66c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 65c | 15.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.