La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66ce834dea88f30f493c1e7f4b1a5836d6f77233836463ab69b10d4a28e9eefe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d67…6b86backed Over | 59c | 5,240$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 1,512$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.2 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 810$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 574$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.66 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 44c | 537.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 41c | 407$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 41c | 395.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 42c | 266.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 44c | 43.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 34.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.