NFL · resolved market
Will Brian Robinson Jr. score a touchdown?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6709fbfbe831b332ed149f3a22b3aec6da92c7f4d12bf3b7a788e1fadb20cb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x188b…8ef3backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…eebebacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…b3e0backed Yes | 33c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…26c0backed Yes | 34c | 49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +146.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…0afdbacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…ba55backed Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…cafebacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…3c41backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…b50abacked Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a74…f086backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…3551backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f97…10afbacked Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…c4f2backed Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…c26bbacked No | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…fcf7backed No | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…1c06backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…0955backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…42e0backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…a379backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…aeb5backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a5…bca4backed No | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…4487backed No | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3062…f12dbacked No | 67c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac9…5246backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…8066backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b501backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…af2cbacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…7487backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f2…ed1fbacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…6acebacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…3313backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…2b96backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf640…fb26backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…a97bbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…3969backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…b426backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…0f17backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…75b6backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…9046backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7446…a0bbbacked No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…b6adbacked No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…8a24backed No | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…ae2bbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…6c3cbacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…3b18backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…98f5backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa433…8947backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…a15ebacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…bd83backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaac…dc60backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…6437backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…8207backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…f1a3backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3664…58b7backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d9…21cfbacked No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…453dbacked No | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…7ba7backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…0410backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…2713backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…6c18backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…f7fcbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…0356backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…cba0backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…8b8ebacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…cad1backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…601dbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brian Robinson Jr. score a touchdown?this page
- Will Jahmyr Gibbs score a touchdown?Yes won
- Will Jayden Daniels score a touchdown?No won
- Will Terry McLaurin score a touchdown?Yes won
- Will Zach Ertz score a touchdown?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.