Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676763dbc3b5b0f7ba4d585de2abfd3bd7f1f056a55a34dd66b2e8a700780296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Team Liquid, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Fnatic | 58c | 1,120$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.72 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 21c | 1,083$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.43 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 69c | 801.68$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 650$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Team Liquid | 41c | 433.61$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Fnatic | 76c | 395.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Fnatic | 68c | 360$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid | 39c | 349.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Team Liquid | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 40c | 291.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fnatic | 76c | 239.4$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 77c | 227$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Liquid | 37c | 162.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Fnatic | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…5d57backed Team Liquid | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…cc11backed Team Liquid | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 27c | 109.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096c…2ce1backed Team Liquid | 29c | 95.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Team Liquid | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Fnatic | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Team Liquid | 50c | 53.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…4d0dbacked Fnatic | 50c | 53.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Fnatic | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Team Liquid | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsFnatic won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.