Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19be716900ea24396d13ca6d08c556dc87e04d91141b77e5a510072dc9958476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Team Liquid, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 77c | 2,539$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.26 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 20c | 1,730$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.65 | 221 | 18.1%40 W · 181 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 750.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Team Liquid | 40c | 643.54$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic | 76c | 561.43$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 29c | 473$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Fnatic | 66c | 384.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 18c | 374.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Liquid | 8c | 303.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Liquid | 22c | 301.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Liquid | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Fnatic | 68c | 298.82$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic | 65c | 284.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Liquid | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Fnatic | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Team Liquid | 43c | 122.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Team Liquid | 48c | 61.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Fnatic | 72c | 38.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…83d6backed Fnatic | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Fnatic | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsFnatic won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.