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Euroleague · resolved market

Monaco vs. Partizan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monacoof Monaco, Partizan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Partizan14c5,177$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.6614847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Partizan12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Partizan12c1,400$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7722231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Partizan5c963$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8236939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1d…52f0backed Partizan16c614.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Monaco72c421.09$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2613235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Partizan12c314$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.688644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Partizan19c263.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.664650%23 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Partizan27c222$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0210941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Partizan39c185$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.139746.4%45 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Partizan33c177.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-83.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Partizan12c118.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7911635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Partizan12c101.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Monaco76c100.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44143.9%18 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+69%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Partizan10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102245.5%10 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Monaco79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88440.5%34 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Monaco72c66.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.886446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Monaco80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Monaco76c44.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Monaco80c42.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.484957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Partizan31c40.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Monaco79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43627.8%10 W · 26 L-8.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Monaco80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Monaco80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Monaco72c34.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.583748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Monaco75c32.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.077944.3%35 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Monaco77c31.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.311040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Monaco80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Monaco67c19.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Monaco76c17.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.228544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.