Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Recrent Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67dad55104ef884064d5cac318399a4d75591166fc980f1474afb7fb0b6a4f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Recrent Teamof Recrent Team, by Owl Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked by Owl Team | 6c | 2,120$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Recrent Team | 70c | 508.12$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked by Owl Team | 60c | 504.54$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Recrent Team | 41c | 265$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Recrent Team | 44c | 225.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed by Owl Team | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Recrent Team | 62c | 148.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…8371backed by Owl Team | 41c | 120.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed Recrent Team | 57c | 106.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked by Owl Team | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Recrent Team | 73c | 40.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Recrent Team | 52c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked by Owl Team | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked by Owl Team | 37c | 28.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed by Owl Team | 58c | 24.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked by Owl Team | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Recrent Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Recrent Team vs by Owl Team - Game 1 WinnerRecrent Team won
- Dota 2: Recrent Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 WinnerRecrent Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.