Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Twente beat Besiktas?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67df559ab1ced15d521afa1fd2a4aff83db0a5c13e016b49d49db20f2e653a1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 50c | 2,682$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.87 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 45c | 1,146$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.41 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,010$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.58 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 55c | 1,000$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 51c | 354.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.67 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 48c | 252.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e2e4backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked No | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Yes | 51c | 58.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…cba7backed No | 50c | 47.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…c17abacked Yes | 50c | 47.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25b…93a6backed No | 51c | 44.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…427cbacked No | 53c | 42.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…983abacked Yes | 47c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…934dbacked Yes | 50c | 38.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9454backed No | 50c | 38.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x121e…8de7backed Yes | 44c | 38.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…d158backed Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…aedcbacked No | 55c | 33.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…852cbacked Yes | 44c | 30.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…e0b2backed No | 56c | 29.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…315bbacked Yes | 44c | 29.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8f38backed Yes | 49c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…102cbacked No | 51c | 26.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…5b63backed Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…cc02backed No | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…37c9backed Yes | 46c | 23.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…372cbacked Yes | 49c | 22.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f58…9798backed Yes | 49c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…e3b5backed No | 53c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…5b63backed No | 56c | 20.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…dbb1backed No | 53c | 20.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…fd30backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…3630backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…f62cbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…0e49backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…7f84backed Yes | 51c | 19.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Twente beat Besiktas?this page
- Will Besiktas beat Twente?No won
- Will the match between Twente and Besiktas end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.