CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6806d3a62e5e25257b379c725758d1c38e446a3151bb97d9deb543889d719008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof ShindeN, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x997f…b0f7backed ShindeN | 34c | 1,108$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN | 29c | 570.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.78 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN | 18c | 508.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…3467backed Imperial | 76c | 281.84$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +7.4wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN | 29c | 252.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked ShindeN | 23c | 230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 74c | 208.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked ShindeN | 12c | 179.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Imperial | 77c | 153$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Imperial | 77c | 147$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Imperial | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Imperial | 77c | 119.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 37c | 107.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 78c | 103.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial | 77c | 90.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial | 70c | 85.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Imperial | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed ShindeN | 25c | 69.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 227 | 49.8%113 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ShindeN | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Imperial | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,554 | 33.9%527 W · 1,027 L | -73.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Imperial | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ShindeN | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Imperial | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Imperial | 72c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 545 | 45.3%247 W · 298 L | -20.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Imperial | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 718 | 42.3%304 W · 414 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Imperial | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 123 | 75.6%93 W · 30 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.