Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kathinka von Deichmann vs Himeno Sakatsume
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685403d1040161e69e0f2aa99ca5126b825a7def43fe47553ddbccdb9502426b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Himeno Sakatsumeof Kathinka von Deichmann, Himeno Sakatsume
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 31c | 5,870$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.7 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Himeno Sakatsume | 70c | 2,864$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Himeno Sakatsume | 76c | 2,567$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.43 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 10c | 1,858$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Himeno Sakatsume | 78c | 844.5$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Himeno Sakatsume | 69c | 749.99$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 28c | 563.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Himeno Sakatsume | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Himeno Sakatsume | 76c | 499.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 30c | 479.14$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Himeno Sakatsume | 69c | 357.14$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 19c | 349.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 32c | 315.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 31c | 304.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 31c | 258.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 20c | 242.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 32c | 239.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Himeno Sakatsume | 57c | 237$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 21c | 230.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Himeno Sakatsume | 70c | 226.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 31c | 151.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Himeno Sakatsume | 69c | 147.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 20c | 134.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Himeno Sakatsume | 68c | 130.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 76c | 108.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 31c | 86.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Himeno Sakatsume | 68c | 77.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Himeno Sakatsume | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…454bbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 76c | 65.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Himeno Sakatsume | 69c | 64.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Himeno Sakatsume | 53c | 50.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Himeno Sakatsume | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…af18backed Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 42.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 31c | 41.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…5b74backed Himeno Sakatsume | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 69c | 26.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 46c | 25.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 43 | 83.7%36 W · 7 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.