Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6875035d89725350e55072318e7009a6598c1b95e121d80d49cc22e780395519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 44c | 863.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.1 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 56c | 858.98$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.95 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 56c | 323.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 1,139 | 50.8%579 W · 560 L | +27.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 275.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 2,068 | 36.7%758 W · 1,310 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 258.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Over | 59c | 248.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 57c | 165.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 44c | 133$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 58c | 127.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 1,163 | 60.5%704 W · 459 L | +67.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 101.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 995 | 52.6%523 W · 472 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 87.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…91e5backed Under | 22c | 86.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Over | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 69.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 898 | 57.9%520 W · 378 L | +56.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,278 | 39.5%505 W · 773 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 52.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 59c | 50.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…28e1backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…50f4backed Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 59c | 17.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.