Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b20e43f8fe8fcdb0b40a072005fc625863050fd3a73124456cf4cd73f856e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duckworthof Lehecka, Duckworth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Lehecka | 52c | 11,453$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Duckworth | 47c | 5,975$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.93 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Duckworth | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Duckworth | 49c | 1,950$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.35 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Duckworth | 50c | 532$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Lehecka | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Duckworth | 49c | 465.69$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.35 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Lehecka | 20c | 161.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Duckworth | 48c | 134$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Duckworth | 48c | 132.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Lehecka | 54c | 131.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Duckworth | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Duckworth | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…ef52backed Lehecka | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…7ab4backed Lehecka | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Lehecka | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Duckworth | 73c | 28.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edf…f16fbacked Lehecka | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Duckworth | 63c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5)this page
- Lehecka vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs DuckworthDuckworth won
- Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James DuckworthJiri Lehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.