Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knights: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b2add49e722a8ff6e9895edafd495f702672e30b43205b6c43786dd49e9c12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 49c | 76,427$37,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,429.76 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 38,204$19,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,699.06 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 11,258$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Over | 21c | 3,474$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.95 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 2,675$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.08 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 2,650$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.5 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.83 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 70c | 1,540$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.94 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +8.2wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 1,146$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.86 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 52c | 625.92$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.93 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 570.73$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 51c | 475$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 207$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 97.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 65.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 51c | 55.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knights: O/U 159.5this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-4.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)UCF Knights won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF KnightsUCF Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.