CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68bb8220e4200105834c6b232ee6587e21ad0edc41da48734c8e2d1547d94736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ODDIKof ODDIK, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru | 40c | 280.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK | 60c | 274.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Fake do Biru | 20c | 170.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fake do Biru | 16c | 147.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ODDIK | 54c | 121.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fake do Biru | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ODDIK | 79c | 85.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…77dabacked Fake do Biru | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed ODDIK | 76c | 34.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed ODDIK | 50c | 28.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ODDIK | 75c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerODDIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.