CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6114f6e4c3f385cd38407dd98169f9f621413b5cfb862506225404041a71ddfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ODDIKof ODDIK, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK | 65c | 1,729$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked ODDIK | 75c | 1,521$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.97 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Fake do Biru | 31c | 1,512$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.21 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fake do Biru | 21c | 1,392$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.06 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Fake do Biru | 18c | 978.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 20c | 911.48$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 497$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 311.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked ODDIK | 66c | 272.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ODDIK | 66c | 205.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Fake do Biru | 26c | 204.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fake do Biru | 24c | 180.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Fake do Biru | 26c | 145.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 129.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ODDIK | 63c | 110.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked ODDIK | 67c | 108.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed ODDIK | 80c | 107.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Fake do Biru | 22c | 101.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fake do Biru | 18c | 99.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…77dabacked Fake do Biru | 30c | 96.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Fake do Biru | 19c | 93.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 83.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 74.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Fake do Biru | 37c | 65.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed ODDIK | 64c | 59.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Fake do Biru | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 47.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked ODDIK | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Fake do Biru | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked ODDIK | 63c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ODDIK | 79c | 29.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed ODDIK | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ODDIK | 64c | 20.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerODDIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.