WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68bf0fd494d3cb5bf1519ba931fb3e154abbf2b1ffe9b4a130c5f9e619694f48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Aces | 35c | 799.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Lynx | 65c | 459.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Aces | 32c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lynx | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Aces | 38c | 265$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lynx | 62c | 263.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aces | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Lynx | 67c | 241.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Lynx | 65c | 224.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Aces | 33c | 199.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Aces | 32c | 185$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lynx | 67c | 169$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynx | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lynx | 75c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Lynx | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aces | 34c | 102.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Aces | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Aces | 37c | 99.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aces | 29c | 66.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lynx | 62c | 63.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Aces | 36c | 62.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Lynx | 70c | 60.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +71%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aces | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lynx | 70c | 54.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lynx | 63c | 50.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Aces | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Aces | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Aces | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…61fdbacked Lynx | 68c | 19.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.