Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Sofia Johnson vs Anna Rogers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68cdf3a368321a64cd975018acec63fec1c4ab751ecc1d96c2e90ecfcec980f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Johnsonof Sofia Johnson, Anna Rogers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anna Rogers | 67c | 357.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sofia Johnson | 27c | 254.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anna Rogers | 27c | 164.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sofia Johnson | 27c | 147.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Sofia Johnson | 73c | 137.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Rogers | 31c | 102.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sofia Johnson | 25c | 89.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sofia Johnson | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Sofia Johnson | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Anna Rogers | 49c | 40.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Anna Rogers | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Anna Rogers | 48c | 31.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Anna Rogers | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Anna Rogers | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Sofia Johnson | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Anna Rogers | 77c | 17.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Anna Rogers | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.