NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68d5f5ab558df0d778e2951fed540039b3b03fb1d9ff113cd94084c1d157454c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dinamo Minskof Lada Togliatti, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbc4…c01ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…751ebacked Lada Togliatti | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Lada Togliatti | 27c | 370.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…32b1backed Dinamo Minsk | 76c | 205.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Lada Togliatti | 25c | 133$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Dinamo Minsk | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Dinamo Minsk | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Dinamo Minsk | 74c | 67.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 60.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Lada Togliatti | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lada Togliatti | 24c | 45.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.