TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Alabama Lions vs. West Georgia Wolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Georgia Wolvesof North Alabama Lions, West Georgia Wolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked West Georgia Wolves80c4,072$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.6249345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions21c2,680$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.725,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed West Georgia Wolves80c1,985$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.134943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Alabama Lions18c1,617$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.864,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Alabama Lions27c944.89$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.691,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed North Alabama Lions19c756.8$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.112,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked North Alabama Lions12c526.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Alabama Lions3c520$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.662,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed North Alabama Lions19c326.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0870936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Alabama Lions33c297.68$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.232,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed North Alabama Lions20c258.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.713138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked West Georgia Wolves77c234.32$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.341,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed North Alabama Lions16c211.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.842630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed West Georgia Wolves68c200.95$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.191,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed North Alabama Lions21c99.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.881,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Alabama Lions22c99.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.871,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked North Alabama Lions26c99.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8214049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked West Georgia Wolves60c99.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6615356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Alabama Lions21c89.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.791,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed West Georgia Wolves80c73.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Alabama Lions31c43.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed North Alabama Lions33c39.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed West Georgia Wolves61c32.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5813565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed West Georgia Wolves67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.616755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed West Georgia Wolves74c15.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.