Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6900c32846154ceefd41f79392752ef34924bba535dc6f15dd9985b718711c40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kukuysof Trailer Park Boys, Kukuys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Trailer Park Boys | 52c | 1,579$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.59 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Kukuys | 48c | 1,249$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.73 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Kukuys | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Trailer Park Boys | 48c | 878.59$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.22 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Kukuys | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Trailer Park Boys | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Trailer Park Boys | 60c | 580$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Trailer Park Boys | 61c | 409.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Trailer Park Boys | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Kukuys | 40c | 287.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 482 | 49.2%237 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Kukuys | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Kukuys | 55c | 163$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Trailer Park Boys | 44c | 129.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Kukuys | 26c | 115.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Trailer Park Boys | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Trailer Park Boys | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Trailer Park Boys | 79c | 56.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Kukuys | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Kukuys | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trailer Park Boys | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa420…35bbbacked Kukuys | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Kukuys (BO3)Kukuys won
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Kukuys - Game 1 WinnerKukuys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.