Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Kukuys (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df8d81837eceec5b4815780e8685ec53e1b0edec29c67a0f116478c86ef3267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kukuysof Trailer Park Boys, Kukuys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Kukuys | 60c | 3,180$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.92 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Trailer Park Boys | 40c | 1,898$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.74 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trailer Park Boys | 40c | 1,558$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.99 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Kukuys | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Trailer Park Boys | 3c | 999.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Trailer Park Boys | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trailer Park Boys | 30c | 544.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Kukuys | 60c | 471.79$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Trailer Park Boys | 52c | 289.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Kukuys | 48c | 274.04$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kukuys | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed Trailer Park Boys | 45c | 222.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trailer Park Boys | 13c | 204$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Kukuys | 65c | 201.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Kukuys | 59c | 189.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Kukuys | 58c | 172.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Trailer Park Boys | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Kukuys | 63c | 108.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Trailer Park Boys | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Kukuys | 73c | 105.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Trailer Park Boys | 35c | 102.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Kukuys | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…0723backed Trailer Park Boys | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Kukuys | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Kukuys | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…d295backed Kukuys | 79c | 76.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Kukuys | 60c | 67.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Trailer Park Boys | 27c | 66.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x3a03…02a6backed Trailer Park Boys | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Kukuys | 65c | 43.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Kukuys | 80c | 39.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Kukuys | 60c | 38.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…90b1backed Kukuys | 59c | 38.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6228…8550backed Kukuys | 57c | 34.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Kukuys | 57c | 34.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed Kukuys | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…a74ebacked Trailer Park Boys | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…1375backed Kukuys | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Kukuys | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Trailer Park Boys | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cf…e8f8backed Trailer Park Boys | 47c | 22.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Kukuys | 78c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Kukuys (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Kukuys - Game 1 WinnerKukuys won
- Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Kukuys - Game 2 WinnerKukuys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.