Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6918fbd7991023b93ef80abbddb09a7c23bd441cd3814bc075dba3d9d71cbb16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed M80 | 60c | 4,435$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.11 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 22c | 1,510$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 1,389$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.97 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 35c | 983.8$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.33 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed M80 | 67c | 951.55$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 40c | 708.78$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.51 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 35c | 677.86$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 429.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked M80 | 57c | 343.07$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 339.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…9a39backed M80 | 76c | 292.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked M80 | 75c | 218.05$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 22c | 194.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 35c | 154.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 70c | 126.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 40c | 124.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 20c | 119.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 97.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 25c | 96.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 35c | 91.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 74c | 84.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 36c | 71.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed M80 | 79c | 70.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked M80 | 71c | 48.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed M80 | 56c | 32.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed M80 | 78c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked M80 | 74c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed M80 | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.