Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x344f338ec0f72f3788b82bc8049be110010d9c933291ecc09832b047dd26e3fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed M80 | 44c | 11,631$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.57 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 56c | 7,956$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.07 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 1,833$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.57 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 71c | 1,064$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.55 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 74c | 995.37$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.54 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 25c | 979.09$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.53 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed M80 | 23c | 829.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.57 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked M80 | 68c | 654.19$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 48c | 577.35$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.84 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 53c | 557.53$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.73 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed M80 | 71c | 506.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 45c | 491.15$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.81 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed M80 | 57c | 338.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 29c | 283.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed M80 | 68c | 272.27$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 263$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked M80 | 68c | 214.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed M80 | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked M80 | 40c | 195.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 63c | 195.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 62c | 168.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 45c | 161.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 39c | 160.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 158.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked M80 | 29c | 145.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed M80 | 44c | 135.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfa…27b2backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 27c | 122.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…1f1bbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 72c | 102.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 56c | 100.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed M80 | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked M80 | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked M80 | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked M80 | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked M80 | 72c | 86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed M80 | 72c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed M80 | 26c | 79.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 58c | 78.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed M80 | 18c | 62.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed M80 | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 47c | 50.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 30c | 45.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked M80 | 78c | 45.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed M80 | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed M80 | 72c | 41.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed M80 | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…5484backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 54c | 36.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 46c | 34.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed M80 | 57c | 32.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed M80 | 57c | 27.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed M80 | 58c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked M80 | 72c | 26.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…973fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 59c | 23.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed M80 | 67c | 21.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 56c | 20.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed M80 | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed M80 | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed M80 | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.