Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6993c839ae760d73ecdf9167e02540c862ba25280c288df9d7b91c4f4b57e699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 67c | 40,000$26,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.87 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 33c | 33,481$11,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,048.82 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 3,228$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 1,974$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 31c | 595.05$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 68c | 567$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 33c | 422.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 34c | 295.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 24c | 251$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 66c | 240.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 30c | 151.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 33c | 112.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 33c | 90.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 88.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 66c | 33.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 71c | 30.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 72c | 24.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc189…b79bbacked Yes | 66c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Southampton FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.