Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69b048acc3be3ca37a601d04d481add092cfbad46b16b4b85f843b7adc4892d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,022$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.93 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,959$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,500$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.05 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 1,811$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.26 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 66c | 1,507$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.53 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,498$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 64c | 1,080$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.88 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 2c | 709.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 62c | 584.55$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.22 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 27c | 569.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.54 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 50c | 560$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.91 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…f7b1backed Yes | 10c | 552.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +291.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…c08dbacked Yes | 17c | 522.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 42c | 509.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.05 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 30c | 502.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 30c | 329.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 328$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 21c | 265.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 41c | 245.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 27c | 239$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 19c | 231.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 16c | 220.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked No | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 16c | 185.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 184.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Yes | 16c | 184.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +84%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 39c | 137.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 37c | 134.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 8c | 134.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 16c | 119.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 12c | 117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…c400backed Yes | 62c | 103.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 49c | 82.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 64c | 82.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 28c | 76.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Yes | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Yes | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 71c | 56.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…2d27backed Yes | 38c | 28.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 76c | 26.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 63c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?No won
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.