Premier League · resolved market
Will the Netherlands win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c5fd3c6a0e9e9a93e95a1c4816f8fc1829c3318a8f93468d5e18d075874018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 68c | 7,812$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 33c | 7,074$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.67 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked No | 34c | 1,450$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…6f43backed No | 31c | 406.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked No | 36c | 325.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 67c | 236.07$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed No | 33c | 229.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…b84abacked Yes | 59c | 167.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…b294backed Yes | 78c | 137.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…1d3abacked No | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…ac64backed Yes | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 40c | 87.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…25a3backed Yes | 66c | 75.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…2309backed Yes | 68c | 73.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…7dddbacked Yes | 58c | 66.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked No | 69c | 45.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 64c | 35.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…7c06backed Yes | 67c | 29.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…cb7ebacked Yes | 67c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…5ae1backed Yes | 72c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…7a6cbacked Yes | 59c | 16.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…2b5dbacked Yes | 67c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Netherlands win?this page
- Will Poland win?No won
- Will the match be a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.