Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a30fd473ebf2a8ff5dd3f2e6fee9bc65fb29b8eab5a4af3257e73e6287a239f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Team Shpilit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,704 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Power Rangers | 72c | 2,215$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.73 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Shpilit | 35c | 1,909$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.66 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Shpilit | 26c | 1,758$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.18 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Power Rangers | 79c | 1,641$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Power Rangers | 68c | 1,591$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.4 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Power Rangers | 78c | 991.35$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Shpilit | 21c | 917.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Shpilit | 31c | 724.64$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Power Rangers | 78c | 622.45$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Shpilit | 15c | 550.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Shpilit | 24c | 535.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 64c | 272.39$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Power Rangers | 70c | 196.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Power Rangers | 72c | 141.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…3b8bbacked Team Shpilit | 35c | 136.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Power Rangers | 78c | 128.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Shpilit | 25c | 117.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Power Rangers | 75c | 107.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Shpilit | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Power Rangers | 77c | 90.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Shpilit | 21c | 85.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 73.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Power Rangers | 67c | 70.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Shpilit | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Shpilit | 29c | 58.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Power Rangers | 79c | 53.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Team Shpilit | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Power Rangers | 78c | 34.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Power Rangers | 78c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Power Rangers | 78c | 21.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Power Rangers | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…3df5backed Power Rangers | 79c | 18.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…2f1abacked Power Rangers | 79c | 18.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.