NHL · resolved market
NHL: Utah vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a736e8da46a7be0ce09c9f81b90fdf06882529da78e60e6843eaf058a811dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Utah | 63c | 1,000$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Blackhawks | 36c | 801.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Blackhawks | 37c | 748.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Utah | 60c | 491.78$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Blackhawks | 8c | 344$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Utah | 79c | 203.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Utah | 67c | 143.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Blackhawks | 12c | 117.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Blackhawks | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Utah | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Utah | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…9b56backed Utah | 63c | 20.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Utah | 62c | 18.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.