TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,334 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe301…8654backed Under17c2,660$465 inLost-$465.151816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-69%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over73c2,405$1,759 inWon+$645.97,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under16c2,394$373 inLost-$372.696532.3%21 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c1,371$439 inLost-$438.545,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under18c678.97$125 inLost-$124.811435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under19c415.52$78 inLost-$78.1513332.3%43 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under72c350$252 inLost-$2522853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under10c340.77$35 inLost-$35.221414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-78.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under21c237.78$50 inLost-$49.761643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under62c235.92$147 inLost-$147.42,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c229.07$126 inLost-$125.992,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over45c223.07$100 inWon+$123.0718248.4%88 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c219.21$96 inWon+$123.0573440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost-$1009348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c134.86$42 inLost-$42.332,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over44c66.25$29 inWon+$37.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over29c65.93$19 inWon+$46.8114332.2%46 W · 97 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over74c64.68$48 inWon+$16.832,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c44$20 inWon+$24.21,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over62c42.98$27 inWon+$16.4655954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Under57c40$23 inLost-$22.84047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over62c39.22$24 inWon+$15.0232257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c38$21 inLost-$21.282,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under56c20.25$11 inLost-$11.342458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over69c15.41$11 inWon+$4.789968.7%68 W · 31 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.