Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oldenzaal (Netherlands), clay: Lorenzo Angelini vs Daniel Verbeek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ab033de2cbe815fae438e477f40b34a66fbb16ad8f60a71afd7e093389c62e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Verbeekof Lorenzo Angelini, Daniel Verbeek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Daniel Verbeek | 16c | 5,303$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.04 | 748 | 40.9%306 W · 442 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Verbeek | 39c | 3,645$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.53 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Angelini | 73c | 3,580$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.07 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…cd12backed Lorenzo Angelini | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 50c | 488.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.08 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Lorenzo Angelini | 58c | 429.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Lorenzo Angelini | 59c | 409.38$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lorenzo Angelini | 64c | 370.5$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 79c | 353.82$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.11 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 50c | 195.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 49.9%518 W · 521 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 53c | 101.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Daniel Verbeek | 39c | 78.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Lorenzo Angelini | 22c | 69.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 336 | 36.6%123 W · 213 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 40c | 53.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Daniel Verbeek | 60c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lorenzo Angelini | 49c | 44.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Lorenzo Angelini | 56c | 43.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 387 | 31.3%121 W · 266 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Lorenzo Angelini | 36c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Lorenzo Angelini | 75c | 30.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Daniel Verbeek | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 604 | 41.2%249 W · 355 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Lorenzo Angelini | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,324 | 64.7%857 W · 467 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15d…b2cfbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Lorenzo Angelini | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 307 | 68.1%209 W · 98 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.