Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Mariia Drobysheva vs Adrienn Nagy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ab96c82aad484f1bd104750ef7f6f2f693d63b277b005ece82b0aa7e6174b5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adrienn Nagyof Mariia Drobysheva, Adrienn Nagy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Adrienn Nagy | 47c | 4,620$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Mariia Drobysheva | 33c | 749.09$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.95 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariia Drobysheva | 54c | 723.7$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.82 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Adrienn Nagy | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Mariia Drobysheva | 38c | 592.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Mariia Drobysheva | 64c | 385.11$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mariia Drobysheva | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mariia Drobysheva | 24c | 249.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Adrienn Nagy | 76c | 202$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mariia Drobysheva | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mariia Drobysheva | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Mariia Drobysheva | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Adrienn Nagy | 38c | 116$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Mariia Drobysheva | 19c | 115.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Mariia Drobysheva | 18c | 106.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Adrienn Nagy | 77c | 104.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Mariia Drobysheva | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mariia Drobysheva | 38c | 98.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Adrienn Nagy | 79c | 82.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Adrienn Nagy | 43c | 76.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Mariia Drobysheva | 54c | 69.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Mariia Drobysheva | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…8ad1backed Mariia Drobysheva | 66c | 46.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Adrienn Nagy | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Mariia Drobysheva | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mariia Drobysheva | 62c | 31.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Adrienn Nagy | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Mariia Drobysheva | 49c | 28.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Adrienn Nagy | 77c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Mariia Drobysheva | 70c | 15.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Adrienn Nagy | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.