Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oldenzaal (Netherlands), clay: Sebastian Heinrich vs Mac Visser
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b533e9547dde7a96a6e1ac7d343c10537eeae2f7aad65c89918291ce876e121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Heinrichof Sebastian Heinrich, Mac Visser
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Heinrich | 23c | 5,610$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.55 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mac Visser | 65c | 680.55$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.1 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Sebastian Heinrich | 42c | 400.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Sebastian Heinrich | 9c | 320.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.78 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Mac Visser | 60c | 318.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sebastian Heinrich | 24c | 247.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.06 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Heinrich | 25c | 179.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Mac Visser | 59c | 179.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 175 | 59.4%104 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Mac Visser | 59c | 173.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked Sebastian Heinrich | 11c | 169.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Sebastian Heinrich | 41c | 136$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Sebastian Heinrich | 36c | 131.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Mac Visser | 74c | 101.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…2247backed Mac Visser | 24c | 72.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Sebastian Heinrich | 47c | 71.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sebastian Heinrich | 27c | 66.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Mac Visser | 72c | 66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 254 | 51.6%131 W · 123 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mac Visser | 65c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Sebastian Heinrich | 43c | 58.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Mac Visser | 57c | 56.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mac Visser | 68c | 54.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mac Visser | 70c | 53.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Sebastian Heinrich | 41c | 44.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Sebastian Heinrich | 39c | 39.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Sebastian Heinrich | 41c | 33.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Sebastian Heinrich | 44c | 31.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Sebastian Heinrich | 37c | 30.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Mac Visser | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Sebastian Heinrich | 55c | 26.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Mac Visser | 64c | 22.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.