Fifa International · resolved market
Will Guatemala beat Guadeloupe?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b72b7ed49926f26f0c0421798e1e39dd4ec88ec6ac80297a91588a2395e250e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 43c | 7,665$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.34 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 46c | 963.54$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.02 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 40c | 840.33$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 276$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 59c | 220$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 79c | 127.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 44c | 114.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9191backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 44c | 93.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 32c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 78c | 74.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked No | 46c | 59.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 55c | 45.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Yes | 55c | 28.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…4412backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Guatemala beat Guadeloupe?this page
- Will Guadeloupe beat Guatemala?No won
- Will Guadeloupe vs. Guatemala end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.