Euroleague · resolved market
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Qingdao Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c65058bfb030a704cb355903e1cd8d09c7f4cca2763ea15fff57dae36eaefe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Qingdao Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,306 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Qingdao Eagles | 0c | 4,560$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Qingdao Eagles | 12c | 3,143$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.18 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 1,207$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.84 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Qingdao Eagles | 40c | 1,193$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.54 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 1,005$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Qingdao Eagles | 38c | 745.89$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.1 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 72c | 683.29$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.23 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Qingdao Eagles | 28c | 533.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Qingdao Eagles | 30c | 397.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Qingdao Eagles | 20c | 361$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Qingdao Eagles | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 76c | 200.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Qingdao Eagles | 6c | 185$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qingdao Eagles | 35c | 166.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Qingdao Eagles | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 134.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 128.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Qingdao Eagles | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Qingdao Eagles | 42c | 119.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Qingdao Eagles | 14c | 107.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Qingdao Eagles | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 72c | 97.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 88.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Qingdao Eagles | 39c | 82.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 81.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Qingdao Eagles | 38c | 62.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 73c | 54.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 57c | 48.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 47.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 43.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Qingdao Eagles | 37c | 39.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…b693backed Qingdao Eagles | 39c | 37.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 59c | 32.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b431backed Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 67c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.