College Football · resolved market
Syracuse vs. Tennessee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6db565990fabe514fb687285f2de594463f0e29d79b3ddc46b24e81c446b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Syracuse, Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Syracuse | 17c | 4,823$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.91 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Syracuse | 8c | 4,017$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Syracuse | 16c | 3,625$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Syracuse | 11c | 3,112$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.61 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Syracuse | 18c | 2,050$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea3…0708backed Syracuse | 8c | 1,246$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Syracuse | 6c | 937.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Syracuse | 15c | 605.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Syracuse | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Syracuse | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…2ac8backed Syracuse | 18c | 273.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Syracuse | 16c | 250.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Syracuse | 11c | 234.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Syracuse | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Syracuse | 9c | 197.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Syracuse | 18c | 113$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Syracuse | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Syracuse | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Syracuse | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Syracuse | 17c | 99.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tennessee | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.