Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Asterisk vs DOT EXE (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c991ac1a9a6ebe97498c7525081a133a023e97cdd9b5f82c3797afebcb947c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asteriskof Asterisk, DOT EXE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DOT EXE | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.9 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Asterisk | 73c | 848.15$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Asterisk | 77c | 603.85$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Asterisk | 73c | 515$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed DOT EXE | 24c | 432.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Asterisk | 73c | 325.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Asterisk | 75c | 302.83$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked DOT EXE | 26c | 271.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed DOT EXE | 24c | 199.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked DOT EXE | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Asterisk | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed DOT EXE | 23c | 125.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed DOT EXE | 23c | 103.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked DOT EXE | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Asterisk | 76c | 63.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked DOT EXE | 28c | 61.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Asterisk | 77c | 61.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Asterisk | 72c | 60.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked DOT EXE | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Asterisk | 73c | 49.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked DOT EXE | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Asterisk | 77c | 43.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed DOT EXE | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed Asterisk | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…6ca6backed Asterisk | 74c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.