WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs. Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9b115379892214c7d2fb8dfcc45be224165e34b19bfe95602a4ff4ddf51edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Sparks, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 33c | 4,228$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.98 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Dream | 76c | 2,202$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dream | 68c | 1,770$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.6 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dream | 75c | 1,645$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.1 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sparks | 34c | 1,626$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.95 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 78c | 1,510$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dream | 74c | 1,230$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.7 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dream | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Sparks | 33c | 1,000$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dream | 72c | 621.14$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Dream | 68c | 599.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sparks | 28c | 575.56$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dream | 67c | 537.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Sparks | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sparks | 31c | 479.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Dream | 66c | 450.7$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 77c | 440.77$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Dream | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dream | 72c | 401.38$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dream | 76c | 388.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Sparks | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 33c | 299.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dream | 70c | 297.28$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks | 34c | 296.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Sparks | 29c | 295$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dream | 69c | 251.75$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 29c | 244$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dream | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sparks | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Sparks | 30c | 143.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Dream | 74c | 109.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Dream | 75c | 106.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dream | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Sparks | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Dream | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…b61cbacked Dream | 74c | 96.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dream | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Sparks | 27c | 70.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…d3eebacked Dream | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…22bbbacked Sparks | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Sparks | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dream | 66c | 47.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.