Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cad56260cd9b54081fc791c34d1863967d893e5747be0d5e158d1852f809798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof L1ga Team, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,229 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7600…4478backed L1ga Team | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.97 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 1,166$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.14 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 1,087$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.44 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 708$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.08 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 643.52$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 601.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 543.04$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 500.07$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 332.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 286.07$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 254.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed L1ga Team | 38c | 149.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 122$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 116.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 114$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 103.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 84.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 69.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 42.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 29.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group BL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.