Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6caec93792cdd7b7977fcd784521747d9cbff769463ca7fcef551f55e3e149f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,345 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 70c | 24,000$16,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 30c | 16,638$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.4 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 11,848$9,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 9,541$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,477$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.48 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 5,506$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.8 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 5,458$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.88 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 3,774$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.23 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 71c | 3,458$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 2,299$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.82 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,056$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 1,654$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 30c | 986$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 905.02$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 875.69$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 78c | 786.77$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 690$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 71c | 500$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 459.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…f5e2backed Yes | 31c | 368.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 343$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 284$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Yes | 30c | 257.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 30c | 236.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 190$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 149$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 30c | 148.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 70c | 136.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 127.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 28c | 109.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 30c | 100.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 16c | 97.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 75c | 69.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 64.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 62.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 71c | 58.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…e287backed No | 71c | 56.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 30c | 55.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Yes | 30c | 49.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 24c | 48.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 46.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 29c | 46.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…e451backed No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 79c | 43.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 72c | 40.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…6002backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 34.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 30.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 70c | 28.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 21.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 77c | 21.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 78c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?this page
- Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.