NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Atlanta Hawks vs. San Antonio Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf6941aef02fe202f4363f81a9e42aad3a4e5441a879c82a51aca8b9e406a35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Hawksof Atlanta Hawks, San Antonio Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Antonio Spurs | 1c | 2,351$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Hawks | 67c | 1,831$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked San Antonio Spurs | 14c | 1,492$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed San Antonio Spurs | 39c | 799.91$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed San Antonio Spurs | 20c | 657.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked San Antonio Spurs | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed San Antonio Spurs | 32c | 469.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…09cebacked San Antonio Spurs | 15c | 292.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed San Antonio Spurs | 42c | 269.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…ded7backed San Antonio Spurs | 42c | 230.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Atlanta Hawks | 76c | 146.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Hawks | 76c | 132.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked San Antonio Spurs | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Atlanta Hawks | 60c | 66.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Atlanta Hawks | 68c | 58.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Atlanta Hawks | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed San Antonio Spurs | 39c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed San Antonio Spurs | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.