Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf9ac2e96a6502b6c0df0d9e56afd097991f8d8effe60ca4d418e2e052798c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FlyQuest | 69c | 10,000$6,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,938.21 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FlyQuest | 68c | 5,737$3,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.77 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Cloud9 | 32c | 4,742$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.11 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Cloud9 | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Cloud9 | 31c | 3,664$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.16 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Cloud9 | 39c | 2,714$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.82 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Cloud9 | 33c | 1,734$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.86 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FlyQuest | 61c | 1,652$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed FlyQuest | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Cloud9 | 32c | 1,123$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.01 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FlyQuest | 67c | 1,011$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.27 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Cloud9 | 32c | 999.96$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed FlyQuest | 67c | 932.47$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.76 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FlyQuest | 68c | 699.99$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.5 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed FlyQuest | 68c | 677$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.36 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FlyQuest | 62c | 665.8$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.29 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cloud9 | 33c | 645$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.15 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cloud9 | 30c | 615.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.06 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cloud9 | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Cloud9 | 32c | 310$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Cloud9 | 31c | 240$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FlyQuest | 67c | 230.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Cloud9 | 32c | 226.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 349 | 41.8%146 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Cloud9 | 32c | 216.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FlyQuest | 59c | 187.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cloud9 | 33c | 168.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 633 | 44.5%282 W · 351 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Cloud9 | 30c | 166$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Cloud9 | 33c | 155.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Cloud9 | 47c | 148.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked FlyQuest | 68c | 143.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FlyQuest | 68c | 137$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 776 | 41.6%323 W · 453 L | -27.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Cloud9 | 42c | 133.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed FlyQuest | 70c | 133.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Cloud9 | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Cloud9 | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc148…85eabacked Cloud9 | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Cloud9 | 64c | 87.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FlyQuest | 28c | 80.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed FlyQuest | 29c | 76.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked FlyQuest | 69c | 67.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Cloud9 | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cloud9 | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FlyQuest | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Cloud9 | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Cloud9 | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…b5a2backed FlyQuest | 68c | 47.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Cloud9 | 33c | 45.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Cloud9 | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed FlyQuest | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 44.8%95 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FlyQuest | 68c | 34.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked FlyQuest | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.