Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcebd0ddd3acfcc3383ad6594d49f45e48d85dd34a4d0affa79533cd58270557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 49c | 2,982$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.96 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 51c | 2,254$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.46 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Over | 50c | 2,016$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.06 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 991.12$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.56 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 612.43$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.13 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 247.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 131.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 32c | 115.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 63c | 102.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 68c | 101.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 42c | 92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 72c | 87.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 36c | 80.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 64c | 75.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 56c | 72.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 57.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Over | 45c | 27.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed Over | 44c | 22.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 51c | 22.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -13.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…f512backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…744bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.