Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac85b812b80dc6a964c769ed30f1416078432dad2725868153932f566b0916c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 54c | 7,593$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.93 | 600 | 50.2%301 W · 299 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked Over | 46c | 2,421$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 55c | 2,150$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.49 | 1,507 | 50.4%760 W · 747 L | +72.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.17 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Over | 45c | 1,806$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.39 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 46c | 1,545$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.82 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 1,395$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.07 | 2,191 | 53.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 45c | 917.7$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.45 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Over | 46c | 877.39$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 56c | 853.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 1,535 | 54.9%843 W · 692 L | +40.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Over | 46c | 813.86$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.15 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 45c | 721.6$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 911 | 51%465 W · 446 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Over | 46c | 691.3$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 44c | 681.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 441 | 42.9%189 W · 252 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Over | 45c | 626.65$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 45c | 604.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.16 | 443 | 39.5%175 W · 268 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 54c | 434.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,119 | 48.7%545 W · 574 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…30c1backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Over | 45c | 342.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 45c | 327.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 1,018 | 47.7%486 W · 532 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Over | 45c | 309.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Under | 56c | 288$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…b8f1backed Over | 45c | 287.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 37c | 239.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 974 | 49.9%486 W · 488 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 29c | 239.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 1,461 | 43.3%632 W · 829 L | +106.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Over | 46c | 235.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Over | 46c | 224$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 53c | 220.13$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 1,411 | 44.8%632 W · 779 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Under | 60c | 194.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 44c | 186.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…6edfbacked Over | 45c | 160.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 49.7%83 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Under | 79c | 100.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Over | 45c | 67.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…55ebbacked Over | 46c | 66.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 44c | 66.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 56c | 65.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 462 | 45.9%212 W · 250 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Over | 45c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 44.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 631 | 49.9%315 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 851 | 40.8%347 W · 504 L | -40.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1da3backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 55c | 20.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.