Premier League · resolved market
Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d60b418c5b4753dceda4eb9fea2f78f944dd993d57780802b92ce1278f06128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 32c | 1,532$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.07 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,461$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.61 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 1,217$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 30c | 823.23$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.61 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 812.5$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.37 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 420.29$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 407.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 305.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 241.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 76c | 236.18$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 183$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 172.18$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 46c | 114$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 57c | 86.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…68dabacked Under | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Under | 73c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Burton Albion FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Burton Albion FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Burton Albion FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Burton Albion FC won
- Spread: Burton Albion FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.