CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d61df492830eb78e1618108340c7ae94ec45f89fac83addee0248914c98a440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, R2 Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 1,710$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.12 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed R2 Esports Club | 20c | 409.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked R2 Esports Club | 32c | 284.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked R2 Esports Club | 16c | 252$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed R2 Esports Club | 41c | 230.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed R2 Esports Club | 28c | 228.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed R2 Esports Club | 21c | 225.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed R2 Esports Club | 36c | 220.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed R2 Esports Club | 30c | 128.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked R2 Esports Club | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked R2 Esports Club | 38c | 102.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed R2 Esports Club | 36c | 83.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed R2 Esports Club | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed R2 Esports Club | 50c | 25.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.