Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d67e819501855f8cb96aced4e81e19683945cb3c5a3d5c41777d8c086646018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 4c | 17,777$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.53 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 7,076$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.46 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 3,681$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.84 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,817$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 2,374$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.54 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 1,856$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 22c | 1,563$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 1,464$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 78c | 1,200$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 22c | 1,004$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 684$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…fc5abacked Yes | 5c | 660$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 657.29$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked No | 79c | 554.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Yes | 22c | 548$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 461.35$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 77c | 362$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 79c | 248.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 192$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…68fabacked Yes | 7c | 183.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 22c | 152.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 130.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 77c | 127.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 22c | 91.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 76c | 58.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 33.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 77c | 16.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-02-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.