La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dfc1b084f1f4b3a5f17acc5df1eb3e7ba4458ec1dbf9064c498515accea7d8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,873 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 52c | 6,405$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.11 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 4,852$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.53 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 4,357$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.39 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 2c | 755.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed Over | 70c | 491.96$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Over | 69c | 461$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 329.4$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 68c | 134$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 98.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 86.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 33c | 79.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 42c | 66.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +117%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 42c | 65.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…3b8bbacked Under | 33c | 41.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 30.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 66c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 26.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…821cbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…8edebacked Under | 65c | 21.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Under | 55c | 21.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.