La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd76d2c740d0a37d59337ba97fd263ac89cf8a5035bb355f09b23ac8fdf67ba9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,822 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 4,453$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.23 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 4,257$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.97 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 59c | 2,840$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,742$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.83 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 1,620$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.43 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 953.57$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.57 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 60c | 901$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed Under | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 39c | 641$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 45c | 483.02$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.02 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Under | 58c | 463.04$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 14c | 449.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Under | 15c | 400.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 373.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 58c | 286.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 143.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 41c | 127.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 35c | 112.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 77.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Under | 14c | 69.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 41c | 61.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Over | 43c | 61.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 58c | 52.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 40c | 46.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Under | 46c | 44.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 37.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 58c | 34.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 43c | 30.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 56c | 24.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 23.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 60c | 17.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.