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Premier League · resolved market

Will Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No33c6,798$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.874,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes63c3,784$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.5310942.2%46 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes60c2,036$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.711,21832.2%392 W · 826 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked No73c1,724$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.891145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes27c1,200$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87650649.8%252 W · 254 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No31c778$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.741,02836.2%372 W · 656 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes70c742$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.224553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36026948.7%131 W · 138 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No22c330.47$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4168932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed No73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes27c222.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.161,32842.4%563 W · 765 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1443…9e05backed Yes28c199.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No46c186$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5610038%38 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes27c168.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.311216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No72c142.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.377860.3%47 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Yes29c111.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.12552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes28c102.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4737638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c100.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.011,71352.8%905 W · 808 L+31.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c98.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.691,38348.3%668 W · 715 L-3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5f…d86bbacked Yes36c90.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No37c80.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4160147.8%287 W · 314 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504259.5%25 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.515345.8%70 W · 83 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes48c52.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.423863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c41.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2421852.3%114 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca00…848dbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.823275%24 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.